Posted in Betting by admin on March 5th, 2010
February is over which means one thing.
March Madness is on the horizon.
It’s the time of the year college basketball betting enthusiasts love more than any other, as they formulate their systems, and determine their brackets for the big tournament.
The great thing about March Madness is that smart money can be won by playing to the factors that comprise most betting systems.
Betting against the public, monitoring line movement, and analyzing the top seeds are three criteria that in unison provide the ultimate betting system.
Since 2003, top seeds have gone a terrible 20-25 against the spread in the first round of the tournament. This trend can be made use of by analyzing the top seeds and their opponents in the opening round.
On average, the betting public majority has lost 53-57% on average. By focusing on the top selection of heavily wagered on games, investors can increase their opportunity for success.
Another excellent criteria by which to gain a betting edge is to monitor line movement. The line will often change a couple of points based on where the public majority lays its money. That indication can be used along with the concept of betting against the majority to increase the chances of winning.
March Madness is the time of the year NCAA basketball betting enthusiasts wait for all year. Implementing a proven betting system can limit the chance of risk, and improve the odds of winning for all wagers.
Posted in Betting by admin on February 5th, 2010
The Super Bowl odds are up and most people are itching to get in on the action for Super Bowl XLIV. But before you dive head-first into the pool, you have to be cautious of where you are diving to make sure that you don’t drown.
Cheesy analogies aside, here is a great Super Bowl betting system:
Middling is not a new concept in the sports betting community but with so many different wacky props and betting lines during the Super Bowl, we are afforded a good opportunity in the big game.
Usually – and this isn’t always, but usually – the Super Bowl matches up two teams who are very even against each other. After all, theoretically, this is supposed to be a matchup of the two best and last teams standings.
With all the alternate lines available, we can get both teams as an underdog and hope for a close game.
For the Super Bowl, we can take the Indianapolis Colts +10.5 and the New Orleans Saints +17.5 and if the game lands in that 28-point window, we win the bet.
Obviously, if it lands outside of it, we are laying -800on the Colts and -500 on the Saints, which could be costly, but this game is supposed to be close between two high-scoring teams and the likelihood of it being a blowout one way or another is unlikely. That’s why middling is a good opportunity for Super Bowl XLIV.
Pick: Bet Both Colts +10.5 & Saints +17.5
Posted in Betting by admin on December 2nd, 2009
Sports betting is a marathon, not a sprint. Unfortunately, many bettors forget that point, which really hurts you if you don’t see the bigger picture.
Gamblers typically don’t like small wins and they would much rather home runs. Unfortunately, in the world of investing, which in a sense is what all professional bettors are doing (unless you are just in the game for entertainment), you have to be patient and appreciate moderate growth.
When it comes to sports betting, there is no such thing as a lock, which means you shouldn’t be betting your whole account on any event.
A good strategy is to limit your bet amounts to just 10% of your total bankroll. When you take all of your eggs out of the basket and split them up into separate portions, you’ll never be in a position where you lose everything in one shot.
If you like certain games more than others, then you bet two or three units on the game (20% or 30% of your account) but even in those situations, you are taking calculated risks opposed to just swinging for the fences.
Whatever your strategy is, make sure you have a system in place where you manage your money and manage your bet amounts. One of the easiest ways to lose in betting is to bet different amounts on different games and stay very disorganized. If you can stay organized and manage your money, you will have one edge that most bettors don’t bother with.
Posted in Betting by admin on August 5th, 2009
It’s been a close race between the American and National League in terms of the World Series this decade, as the American League has a 5-4 lead since the Yankees won in 2000. This is why it’s difficult to figure out a sportsbook system when betting on World Series futures for this year. Here’s a couple of tips to help you along:
1) Look at the trends
Since 2000, the end of the Yankees’ three-peat, the World Series has bounced between leagues except for 2004 and 2005, when the Boston Red Sox and Chicago White Sox went back to back for the American League. Last year was won by Philadelphia, so odds are, it’s the American League’s turn. Due to their win in the All-Star Game, the American League will also have homefield advantage.
2) No back-to-backs here
That Yankees team was the last one to repeat as World Series winners, and only one team has won twice this decade, Boston in 2004 and again in 2007. That could rule out the Red Sox and Phillies this year, and they’re two of the top three teams in this year’s current World Series futures.
3) Watch for the darkhorses
Darkhorses are a tough thing to pick for World Series futures. Usually it’s not recommended, but then you get teams like Tampa Bay from last year that come out of nowhere. However, at this point last year, we all knew that the Rays were for real, after months of wondering. A team like Colorado, for example, is ranked just outside the top contenders and shouldn’t be your first choice in your sportsbook system.
Posted in Betting by admin on July 20th, 2009
Sticking in with baseball sports betting systems, another one this week focuses on pitchers – not just any pitchers, but struggling pitchers.
We all know how frustrating it can be when hyped-up pitchers let you down again and again in the first half of the season, losing you money when their teams are supposed to be favored. Well, it’s time for those downtrodden hurlers to atone for their mistakes. These same goats can be the key to a good sports betting system.
Manny Parra is a good recent test subject to show how this system works. He struggled in the first half of this season, never throwing strikes, and eventually earned a demotion to the minors. He worked on his mechanics for a month or so and returned last week as a different pitcher. He shut out the Cards for seven innings, walked one and struck out seven. If you bet on Milwaukee at the sportsbook that night, you would’ve cashed in nicely, as the Brew Crew would’ve been underdogs based on Parra’s past struggles.
The same happened with Jose Contreras in Chicago and, famously, Roy Halladay early in his career. Talented pitcher goes to minors, fixes flaws, returns a new man, but can win you money since his team will be an underdog when he pitches.
It’s one of the more intriguing sports betting systems I’ve dreamed up in a while, because it turns underdogs into secret favorites.
Who’s next? Consider Pittsburgh’s Ian Snell. He bombed early in the year and requested his own demotion. In the minors, he has a 0.34 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 26.1 innings, so he seems to be working out the kinks. Be ready when he gets his promotion!
Posted in Betting by admin on July 10th, 2009
OK, sports betting systems fans. I have an off the wall one for you to try. Back in my college days, I was studying for a psychology exam when I came across a section in my text book on violence and its relation to heat. It explained how crime rates tend to rise in hot summer months, especially when the temperature is extremely muggy and humid.
The next section of the text book specifically discussed baseball, explaining that the rate of hit batters rose significantly in summer months when the temperature was over a certain point. In other words, not only does the heat make the pitchers a little wild, it also makes them more likely to get frustrated and take it out on hitters.
Here’s an experiment to try. Check the forecast prior to a day game in Atlanta or Texas – somewhere sweltering and sticky. Assume the heat will lead to more total base runners and bet OVER the total. See how you do! The stats say it will work…
Hey, if you really want to get crazy, you could place prop bets on ejections or bench-clearing brawls too, as they happen far more frequently in the hottest months of the year. Remember that the next time bitter rivals like the Yankees and Red Sox face each other on a hot August day.
Have fun with your sports betting systems, folks.
Posted in Betting by admin on May 14th, 2009
So, you’re waiting for that perfect winning sports betting system but there’s a catch: you can’t find one for free. No one wants to share with you unless you pay up, essentially cutting into whatever profit the system could bring you.
Never fear: here’s a simple and easy sports betting system that will have you rolling in the dough.
The double-bet (or multi-bet) system is pretty simple; find a head-to-head matchup that offers some sportsbook value for both picks and bet both at different sportsbooks. Ideally, you do it in two different countries.
A good example of how this system works is to try it in an election. Based on Candidate A and Candidate B’s odds to win, they both will return you $2,000 on an $800 bet. You bet on Candidate A at a U.S. sportsbook and Candidate B at a British one. For both bets, you put down $800. That means you put down $1600 in bets, but since one of the candidates will return you $2,000, you get a guaranteed profit of $400!
In theory, you could apply that principle for bigger returns. If you have enough cash to play around with, you could throw down $16,000 in bets without blinking since you’re GUARANTEED $20,000 in winnings and a $4,000 profit.
You’d think it’s too good to be true, but it’s not. Behold, the beauty of double-bet sports betting system.
Posted in Betting by admin on May 14th, 2009
Some people say sports betting is like flipping a coin. Well, those people have a name: losers. If you’re not prepared when you bet on sports, the losers are right – you may as well flip a coin. In sports, the team with the best gameplan wins it all, and the same applies at the sportsbook. If you understand a sport’s trends before you bet on it, your luck will be in your hands instead of the house’s. The key: sports betting systems.
A sports betting system is a specific set of trends in a given sport creating a pattern. Repeated over time, the pattern can predict future sports outcome and help bettors win big.
For example, certain baseball teams may consistently struggle in day games when the temperature is over 90 degrees. You can do research in advance based on these trends; check the game time and the forecast. If you know the team is playing a day game on a hot day, you’ll know to bet against them. The same logic applies to individual players – pitchers, for instance.
Is a sports betting system absolutely perfect? Of course not. But the bottom line is that it gives you a significant betting edge over the average Joe, your sportsbook and the aforementioned coin. If you combine the right elemental factors in a sports betting system, you can create a betting pattern that is almost flawless and leaves you in the money almost every time.
The one rule most sports bettors follow regarding sports betting systems: keeping them quiet. Don’t let your secret out! Otherwise, every bettor will follow suit and bet just like you, which could lead to line adjustments at your sportsbook.
Try a hot new sports betting system today. Your sportsbook experience will never be the same.