A lot of sharp

The Dudley Method of Yards Per Point:

Created in the mid 1980s, the Dudley method was created by Art Glantz and Leigh Cohn in their book “The Winner’s Guide To Pro Football Betting”. In essence the system operates on the last four games played by each of the teams in the game you are about to bet upon. Here is an example of a game between the Green Bay Packers and St. Louis Rams as well as the four steps of the system.

Example: Green Bay vs. St. Louis – In their last four games the Packers have accumulated 1345 yards while allowing 1352. However in that same time frame they have scored 91 points and given up 78. Conversely the Rams have gained 1291 yards while giving up 1510. The Rams have scored 86 points and given up 111. Here are the four steps to the system:

1. Create an offensive YPP figure for each team:

Green Bay: 1345 / 91 = 14.78

St. Louis: 1291/ 86 = 15.01

2. Create defensive averages for each team, which is the total amount of yards given up divided by four

Green Bay: 1352/ 4 = 338

St. Louis: 1510/ 4 = 377.5

3. Take Each team’s defensive average and divide it by the oppositions YPP figure

Green Bay: 377.5 / 14.78 = 25.54

St. Louis: 338/ 15.01 = 22.52

4. Subtract 1.5 points from the road team and give the home team an additional 1.5 points for the predicted score

Example as Green Bay as home team = Final Score: Green Bay 27.04 – 21.02 St. Louis

Example as St. Louis as home team = Final Score: St. Louis 24.02 – 24.04 Green Bay

Bettors looking to advance from casually

Essentially when you are looking to form your own system, you should gather information from rather successful systems. As we noted above the ultimate NFL betting system, has been around for 20 years and is rather easy to use. Simply look for a team that has scored at least 30 points a game in two straight games while giving up at least 10 points in two straight games. From there you would bet against that team to cover the spread in their next game.

One should keep in mind though that the reason the system has been so successful is because it is not played often. Since 1989 the system has been played 12 times accumulating a record of 11 wins and one loss in that span. Over the last five years, the system has been used four times with a record of three wins and one loss. Here are three examples of the system in use.

1. 2007 Buffalo Bills vs. Dallas Cowboys – Going into the game, the Dallas Cowboys had won two straight games by 30 or more points in each game and the Bills were a 10 point underdog. Not only did the Bills make the system a winner, they also led for the majority of the game prior to loosing on the last play of the game. Final score 25 – 24 Dallas.

2. 2008 Baltimore Ravens vs. Washington Redskins - This was the exception to the rule for the ultimate NFL betting system, as the Redskins a six point underdog were blown out by the Ravens 24 – 10, making the system a loser as well.

3. 2009 San Francisco 49ers vs. Indianapolis Colts – A year after the system suffered its only loss, it returned to winning form as the 49ers a 13 point underdog, easily covered the spread in a losing effort to the powerhouse Colts 18 – 14.

When getting involved in

What is the ultimate money management system?

In essence, the UMMS is based on the concept of using only four percent of your bankroll and subtracting point one percent for every additional bet you make. For example if you were to make a single wager a day you would use up all four percent, yet if you made five bets a day you would use three point six percent of your four percent. Further 11 bets would become three percent of the bankroll, as you subtract one percent from four.

For fans using this method for the first time, know that in order for this system to be effective, you will be wagering the same amount on each bet. Most bettors when they run into trouble managing their accounts will bet $50 on one game and $100 on another. But to have an effective day, it is important to use the same amount of money for each wager. It is important as well to keep a calculator handy, in order to determine what your set wager amount will be.

The UMM system is compatible for online sportsbooks but sometimes tricky for in live casinos. Basically, because online sportsbooks want to remain afloat, they are more likely to take a wager at a bizarre number such as $45.25 same as a $50 wager then a bookie is. For a bookie you would look to compensate them for adjusting to your price causing you to spend more. However as we noted above this system is affective as you do not spend a lot of money, but at the same time the profit is quite small because of how little you are spending.

For every simple

Essentially the PDS incorporates one team in a given matchups opponents up until the week you are about to wager on. Take a six week time span and calculate the total average points for and allowed to find out how well one team’s offense and defense is going into the matchup you are betting on. This system is based around calculating the road team in a given game’s offense and defense. Here is an example using the Houston Texans.

In our feature matchup, the Houston Texans will be facing the Detroit Lions in Detroit. Through the first six weeks of the season, the Texans have scored 104 points while giving up an abysmal 148 points. By dividing the points for and against each by six we get the average number of points scored and given up by the Texans in their first six games. This translates to 17.33 points for and 24.67 against. The point differential system is a four step process and appears as follows:

1. List the road team’s opponents and their per game averages

Week 1: vs. New England 22.33 – 20.5

Week 2: vs. Jacksonville 18.5 – 20.33

Week 3: vs. Cleveland 23 – 17. 83

Week 4: vs. Atlanta 18.83 – 17

Week 5: vs. New Orleans 26 – 18.16

Week 6: vs. Philadelphia 16.33 - 19.17

2. Add up all the totals for points scored and allowed and divide each by six

Points for: 22.33+18.5+23+18.83+26+16.33 = 125.17 / 6 = 20.86

Points Allowed: 20.5+20.33+17.83+17+18.16+19.17 = 110.83 / 6 = 18.47

3. Divide Houston’s points for by the average points allowed by their opponents

Points for / points allowed = 17.33 /1847 = 0. 94

This number tells us that Houston’s offense runs at a 94 percent clip of the league average for offense.

4. Divide Houston’s points allowed by their opponents average points scored

Points allowed / points for = 24.67 / 20.86 = 1.18

If the league average defense operates at one percent, Houston’s defense operating at a 1.18 is 18 percent worse than the average.

Over the last decade, fans betting on ncaa football for the road team as the favorite have had little success. In this time frame, these teams have accumulated an abysmal record of 106-152-2 against the spread in the week after a bye. Moreover, college road favorites in the last decade have combined for an abysmal 33 percent winning percentage against the spread. It appears through these statistics that the bye week may be doing more harm than good.

As seen by the poor records for teams after a bye week, it may be wiser for both the teams and the fans betting on them to have the bye week be withdrawn. A couple reasons to consider this aside from the poor records include:

1. Routine Disruption – As much as the bye week is a nice get away for the players and allows the coaches to remodel their game plans, the routines they have preached in the weeks prior are being disrupted. By playing the season in 12 weeks instead of 13, teams that start the season in top form, have a chance at staying that way. As the records above prove, changing a routine for a week appears to be doing more harm than good.

Disadvantage On the Road – Teams who play on the road in the week after their bye have a much more difficult time when favored by 10 or more points as the 33 percent indicator above would suggest. Many teams on the two week vacation (end of game before bye to first game back) tend to look at tougher opponents and if they play teams they should beat on the road in the first week back, they struggle mightily.

1. Ranked Teams as Underdogs – The rule of thumb when betting on ranked teams as underdogs is to bet on the teams to win outright. Teams that are ranked tend to have the best football programs in the country. Meaning to say that although they are ranked as underdogs, they have every chance to at the very least cover the point spread.

From 1985 until now, ranked teams as the underdog have put forth an impressive record when point spread betting. In that 25 year span, ranked underdogs have amassed a record of 737-419-18 for a winning percentage of over 60. As well in the last two years the ranked underdogs covering the spread have combined for a record of 43-29-1 for a win percentage just under 60.

2. Home Teams as Underdogs – When ranked teams are viewed as underdogs, it is more common to view them like this when they are on the road. Nevertheless, teams that are ranked and deemed an underdog at home in the last 25 years have put forth a record of 178-81-6 good enough for a win percentage of 68.7.

One interesting note about home team underdogs is the fact that the teams win percentage against the spread drops significantly when they face other ranked teams at home. For instance, since 1985, when home underdogs face fellow ranked teams at home they only have a record of 120-76-6 good enough for a 61.2 win percentage.

When getting involved in baseball

1. Short Term Revenge – This form of revenge occurs when a home team drops the first game of the series by three or more runs after leading. Essentially after dropping the first game, the home team is likely to come back the next game with more effort to win back the faith of the fans.

In order for this system to be put into effect, the home team needs to be favored in at least one game in the series that we are betting upon. Basically by wagering you know that the team that lost has the capability of coming back or holds an advantage in some way. The most common advantage in the rebound game is for the previous night’s loser to send one of their better pitchers to the mound to face off against a weaker pitcher from the winning team. Through the team’s motivation and added leverage on the betting line fans using short term revenge should be successful in their wager.

2. Long Term Revenge – In essence we are looking at a team’s long term affect after being swept earlier in the season by an upcoming opponent. In order for this to work, the team we are wagering has to have been swept and then bounced back with strong playing the rest of the season leading up to the return series. We want our team to win at least one game in the series to consider it a bounce back win.

This stipulation is normally included when fans wager on the run line. Look for fans betting the run line to add one and a half points to the team that was previously swept. Wagering in this way can lead to a profit in at least one of the games.

Fans new to

1. Unrealistic winning percentages – Your first clue to avoiding buying a betting system is when you see a promise to a large winning percentage. Listen, in sports betting similar to every other form of gambling you will lose money. Any system that promises you 100 percent winning percentage is false. Think about it, if a sports betting system claims to have a record of 42 to one odds in favor of winning, ask yourself why they need your money.

2. Double Up factor – One of the goals of each sports betting system is that they claim to be unique which is why you should pay for them. However after shopping around for the best betting system, we have noticed that most of them offer a double up factor. But shouldn’t they all be unique?

Essentially how a double up factor works is not to your benefit. What occurs is, if you lose your first wager, the betting system suggests you double up your next wager to win the second bet and make back the money lost on the first bet. If you lose both bets they suggest tripling up and the cycle continues on until you have lost your money. Further the rare time doubling up does work this does lead to a high payout. However, we strongly advise against doubling up and would rather see you bet the same small amount on each wager individually.

3. Combination system – On many sportsbooks, betting systems are being offered where you combine two or more sports. For instance the popular one currently is the football/ baseball combo system in which the premise is the same as long term baseball revenge in that you use a run line to nominate points for the team you expect to win. Plain and simple, so why pay for it?

An example of how the method can be used is as follows. Say that the Indiana Pacers are playing the Toronto Raptors. The Pacers have an AOPR of 85, and on average score 68 while allowing 64. The Raptors have an 82 AOPR, and score 76 compared to allowing 74. The first thing to do is divide the higher AOPR by the lower, to determine how much easier the weaker team’s schedule has been. In this case, the number is 1.037, which means the Pacers have had a 3.7 percent more difficult schedule. Then, players take the total points scored by both teams, and divide it by the league average, adjusting it by taking away or adding the 3.7 percent to remove strength of opponent factor. Then, players take that number, and multiply it by points allowed. In this case, the Pacers number would be 73, while the Raptors’ would be 66, meaning the predicted final score would be 73-77 Indiana. Although it is not the simplest concept, it could give sports betting enthusiasts the edge they need.

Players must give points to teams based on 17 criteria, which include everything from teams that have won the Super bowl in the last three years, to teams in their very first Super Bowl, to team’s with the best completion percentage. Once the numbers have been handed out depending on meeting the criteria, the winner will have been determined. The criteria can be found online by searching for it, with the Indianapolis Colts the most recently predicted team a year ago, losing to the New Orleans Saints in the final game. Another system that has been used, but has only gone 26-17-2 over the years involves three steps. Go against any team that did not cover the spread in their championship game. If both did, bet on the team with the most wins straight up entering the Super Bowl. If both have the same number, bet on the underdog.