A lot of sharp nfl football betting handicappers enjoy employing various strategies when it comes to the NFL. One such betting strategy is the yards per point system, used to calculate the point spread on an upcoming game. Here is one system that has come to make handicappers richer.

The Dudley Method of Yards Per Point:

Created in the mid 1980s, the Dudley method was created by Art Glantz and Leigh Cohn in their book “The Winner’s Guide To Pro Football Betting”. In essence the system operates on the last four games played by each of the teams in the game you are about to bet upon. Here is an example of a game between the Green Bay Packers and St. Louis Rams as well as the four steps of the system.

Example: Green Bay vs. St. Louis – In their last four games the Packers have accumulated 1345 yards while allowing 1352. However in that same time frame they have scored 91 points and given up 78. Conversely the Rams have gained 1291 yards while giving up 1510. The Rams have scored 86 points and given up 111. Here are the four steps to the system:

1. Create an offensive YPP figure for each team:

Green Bay: 1345 / 91 = 14.78

St. Louis: 1291/ 86 = 15.01

2. Create defensive averages for each team, which is the total amount of yards given up divided by four

Green Bay: 1352/ 4 = 338

St. Louis: 1510/ 4 = 377.5

3. Take Each team’s defensive average and divide it by the oppositions YPP figure

Green Bay: 377.5 / 14.78 = 25.54

St. Louis: 338/ 15.01 = 22.52

4. Subtract 1.5 points from the road team and give the home team an additional 1.5 points for the predicted score

Example as Green Bay as home team = Final Score: Green Bay 27.04 – 21.02 St. Louis

Example as St. Louis as home team = Final Score: St. Louis 24.02 – 24.04 Green Bay

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